【HR术语】什么是预测性人力资源分析？（What is predictive HR analytics?）
什么是预测性人力资源分析？
预测性人力资源分析是人力资源部门用来分析过去和现在的数据以预测未来结果的一种技术工具。预测性人力资源分析以数字化方式挖掘数据，提取、剖析和归类信息，然后识别模式、不规则性和相关性。通过统计分析和预测建模，分析可实现有关人力资源职能的数据驱动决策。
预测性人力资源分析系统让人想起蚯蚓。蚯蚓吸收天然废料和残渣，排出营养丰富的肥沃土壤。预测性分析也是如此，它吸收未使用的原始数据，并将其转化为适用的信息，为更明智的业务决策提供支持。
人力资源预测分析实例
以下是当今组织如何应用人力资本预测分析的一些示例：
招聘。预测分析可帮助人力资源专业人员确定最有效的顶尖人才来源。通过分析成功招聘的历史数据，企业可以将招聘工作重点放在能产生最佳效果的平台和渠道上。
留住员工。预测模型可以分析员工数据，如绩效考核、缺勤率和任期，以识别有离职风险的员工。这样，人力资源部门就可以采取积极措施，如提供职业发展机会或解决工作场所的问题，留住有价值的人才。
劳动力规划。预测分析可以通过考虑退休率、人员流动和新兴行业趋势等因素，预测公司未来的技能缺口。然后，人力资源部门可以制定培训和发展计划，弥补这些差距，确保员工队伍保持竞争力。
员工绩效管理。预测性人力资源分析可根据历史绩效数据预测团队成员的未来绩效。这有助于人力资源团队识别可能成为关键职位潜在接班人的高绩效人员，并帮助他们发现其他人可能落后的原因。
员工参与和福利。预测分析能够发现影响员工敬业度的问题。人力资源专业人员可以通过监控工作量和工作时间等因素，识别可能面临职业倦怠或其他心理健康问题风险的人员。然后，人力资源部门可以为有需要的人提供有针对性的支持和资源。
预测性分析如何帮助人力资源部门？
预测性人力资源分析可以帮助组织预测挑战，从而可以：
避免风险
减少人为错误
预测将在组织中茁壮成长的典型员工情况
加强招聘实践
鼓励实现最佳工作绩效
最终，预测性人力资源分析可帮助人力资源领导者做出清晰明确的决策，从而增加整体利润，提高员工的积极性、忠诚度、参与度和工作效率。
预测性和描述性人力资源分析有何不同？
描述性人力资源分析包括检查历史人力资源数据，以全面了解组织内发生了什么及其原因。
而预测性人力资源分析则不局限于此，而是通过分析历史数据和过去的趋势来预测未来会发生什么，从而使组织有机会采取预防措施或抓住出现的机遇。同时使用预测性和描述性两种人员分析形式的组织，都能为自己带来最大的影响。
如何成功实施预测性人力资源分析系统？
人力资源领导者可以利用以下技巧率先实施有效的预测性人力资源分析：
确定业务目标。人力资源领导者可以与团队合作，确定公司的长期目标，团队成员也可以帮助确定支持实现这些目标的相关指标。
确保透彻理解。预测性人力资源分析是一个复杂的领域，不熟悉数据科学的人力资源专业人员可能会对此感到畏惧。然而，为整个人力资源团队提供一致且多样化的学习选择，可以减轻他们对这一主题的不适感，加深理解，并鼓励员工持续发展。方法之一是鼓励人力资源团队熟悉每种分析算法的基本推理。人力资源部门还可以让数据科学家或人力资源数据分析师参与进来，以确保预测分析流程的最佳运作。
解决道德问题。为了避免对员工的不公平歧视待遇，预测分析团队可以预先防范可能出现的道德问题。公司可能会有意或无意地虐待员工中的特定人群，或者由于不正当的数据驱动推理而偏袒某些团队成员。因此，透明地遵守公司的行为准则和人力资源道德准则至关重要。员工需要知道他们的雇主是公平对待他们的，这样他们才会有参与感，才会有茁壮成长的动力。
利用预测分析的力量。人力资源领导者可以通过将预测分析应用于特定目标，最大限度地发挥其作用。例如，人力资源领导者可以结合预测分析来设计有效的职业发展计划，以解决能力差距和未来的能力需求问题，从而按照员工所希望的学习轨迹对其进行培训。
预测性人力资源分析如何改善企业文化？
预测性人力资源分析提供了一种方法，可帮助领导者做出明智的决策，从而培养一支充满热情和高绩效的员工队伍。有效、合乎道德地使用人力资源分析，可以使公司有能力识别、雇佣、吸引和留住符合公司文化并乐于为公司发展做出贡献的高素质专业人才。
为企业选择合适的预测性人力资源分析工具
选择合适的人员分析软件是人力资源专业人士和企业必须迈出的关键一步，这样他们才能收获人力资源预测分析的所有回报。
工具的选择应符合具体的业务需求、资源和目标。要做出明智的决定，有几个关键点需要牢记：
集成。工具能否与现有人力资源系统无缝集成？兼容性和数据传输的便捷性对于准确的预测建模至关重要。
可扩展性。合适的工具能够随着企业的扩张而扩展人力资源预测分析工作。
用户友好界面。寻找能够提供直观的仪表盘、可视化和报告功能的工具，使人力资源专业人员能够轻松访问和解释洞察力。
可解释性。确保工具对其预测做出解释。这样，您的人力资源团队就能理解为什么会做出某些预测，并采取适当的行动。
数据安全性和合规性。人力资源数据通常包括敏感和机密信息。确保工具遵守数据隐私法规，并有保护数据的安全措施。
支持和培训。考虑工具供应商提供的支持和培训水平。充分的培训和持续的支持对人力资源团队有效使用工具并最大限度地发挥其优势至关重要。
成本和投资回报率。评估总体拥有成本，包括许可费用、实施成本和持续维护费用。通过估算工具的洞察力如何对人力资源成果和组织绩效产生积极影响，计算潜在的投资回报。
用户反馈和评论。向使用过该工具的人力资源专业人士征求反馈意见，并阅读行业内其他组织的评论。他们的经验可以为了解工具的优缺点提供宝贵的见解。
通过仔细考虑这些因素，您可以为您的人力资源团队提供一个预测性劳动力分析工具，从而增强决策能力，推动人力资源战略，促进整体业务成功。
以下为文章原文：
What is predictive HR analytics?
Predictive HR analytics is a tech tool that HR uses to analyze past and present data to forecast future outcomes. Predictive HR analytics digitally digs through data to extract, dissect, and categorize information and then identify patterns, irregularities, and correlations. Through statistical analysis and predictive modeling, analytics enables data-driven decisions regarding HR functions.
Predictive HR analytics systems are reminiscent of the earthworm. The worm ingests natural waste material and residue and excretes nutrient-rich, fertile soil. Predictive analytics, too, intakes unused, raw data and transforms it into applicable information that supports wiser business decisions.
Predictive HR analytics examples
Here are some examples of how organizations today apply human capital predictive analytics:
Recruitment. Predictive analytics helps HR professionals identify the most effective sources of top talent. By analyzing historical data on successful hires, organizations can focus their recruitment efforts on the platforms and channels that yield the best results.
Employee retention. Predictive models can analyze employee data, such as performance reviews, absenteeism, and tenure, to identify people at risk of leaving the company. This allows HR to take proactive measures, such as offering career development opportunities or addressing workplace concerns, to retain valuable talent.
Workforce planning. Predictive analytics can forecast future skill gaps within a company by considering factors like retirement rates, turnover, and emerging industry trends. HR can then develop training and development programs to fill these gaps and ensure the workforce remains competitive.
Employee performance management. Predictive HR analytics can forecast a team member’s future performance based on historical performance data. This helps the HR team identify high-performing people who could be potential successors for critical roles, and can help them discover why others may be lagging behind.
Employee engagement and wellbeing. Predictive analytics has the ability to uncover issues that affect employee engagement. HR professionals can identify people who may be at risk of burnout or other mental health issues by monitoring factors like workload and working hours. HR can then provide targeted support and resources to those in need.
How does predictive analytics help human resources?
Predictive HR analytics assists organizations in anticipating challenges so they can:
Avoid risk
Reduce human error
Forecast the typical employee profile that’ll thrive in the organization
Enhance recruitment practices
Encourage optimal work performance
Ultimately, predictive HR analytics helps HR leaders make crystal-clear decisions that can increase overall profit and nurture employee motivation, retention, engagement, and productivity.
What is the difference between predictive and descriptive HR analytics?
Descriptive HR analytics involves examining historical HR data to get a thorough understanding of what has happened within an organization and why.
Predictive HR analytics, on the other hand, goes beyond this and analyzes historical data and past trends to predict what will happen in the future—giving an organization the chance to take preventive measures or to seize opportunities as they arise. Organizations that use both predictive and descriptive forms of people analytics set themselves up to achieve the greatest impact.
How do you implement a successful predictive HR analytics system?
HR leaders can spearhead effective predictive HR analytics using the following tips:
Define business objectives. HR leaders can collaborate with their teams to identify long-term company goals, with team members also helping determine the relevant metrics that support the achievement of these objectives.
Ensure a thorough understanding. Predictive HR analytics is a complex field, and HR professionals unfamiliar with data science can feel intimidated by it. However, providing consistent and diverse learning options for your entire HR team can mitigate their discomfort with the subject, elevate understanding, and encourage continual employee development. One way to do this is to encourage your HR team to familiarize themselves with the fundamental reasoning driving each analytics algorithm. HR can also involve a data scientist or bring an HR data analyst on board to ensure optimal functioning of the predictive analytics process.
Address ethical considerations. To avoid unfair discriminatory treatment of employees, predictive analytics teams can pre-empt possible ethical issues that may arise. Companies could intentionally or unintentionally mistreat specific demographics within the workforce or perhaps show favoritism to certain team members due to illegitimate data-driven reasoning. Thus, transparently adhering to the company’s code of conduct and the HR code of ethics is paramount. People need to know that their employers are treating them fairly to feel engaged and motivated to thrive.
Harness the power of predictive analytics. HR leaders can maximize predictive analytics by applying it to specific objectives. For example, HR leaders can incorporate predictive analytics to design an effective career development program that addresses competency gaps and future competency needs, allowing them to train people in their desired learning trajectory.
How can predictive HR analytics improve company culture?
Predictive HR analytics offers a way to help leaders make informed decisions that nurture an enthusiastic and high-performing workforce. Effective and ethical use of HR analytics can empower companies to identify, hire, engage, and retain quality professionals who align with the company culture and are excited to contribute to its growth.
Choosing the right predictive HR analytics tool for your business
Selecting the right people analytics software is a crucial step for HR professionals and organizations to take, so that they’re able to reap all the rewards of HR predictive analytics.
The choice of tool should align with specific business needs, resources, and objectives. There are a few key things to keep in mind to be able to make an informed decision:
Integration. Can the tool seamlessly integrate with your existing HR systems? Compatibility and ease of data transfer are essential for accurate predictive modeling.
Scalability. The right tool will be able to expand your predictive HR analytics efforts as your organization expands.
User-friendly interface. Look for tools that offer intuitive dashboards, visualizations, and reporting features, making it easy for HR professionals to access and interpret insights.
Explainability. Ensure that the tool provides explanations for its predictions. That way, your HR team can understand why certain predictions are made and take appropriate actions.
Data security and compliance. HR data often includes sensitive and confidential information. Make sure the tool adheres to data privacy regulations and has security measures to protect your data.
Support and training. Consider the level of support and training provided by the tool’s vendor. Adequate training and ongoing support are essential for HR teams to effectively use the tool and maximize its benefits.
Cost and ROI. Evaluate the total cost of ownership, including licensing fees, implementation costs, and ongoing maintenance expenses. Calculate the potential return on investment by estimating how the tool’s insights can positively impact HR outcomes and organizational performance.
User feedback and reviews. Seek feedback from HR professionals who have used the tool and read reviews from other organizations in your industry. Their experiences can provide valuable insights into the tool’s strengths and weaknesses.
By carefully considering these factors, you can empower your HR team with a predictive workforce analytics tool that enhances decision-making, drives HR strategies, and contributes to overall business success.
【HR术语】什么是人力资源运营？（What is HR operations?）
什么是人力资源运营？
人力资源运营（不要与人事运营混淆）是企业内的一项重要职能，负责管理日常人力资源活动的行政和实际工作。
人力资源运营是人力资源部门的支柱，确保各种人力资源流程和系统顺利运行，包括招聘、入职、薪资管理、员工关系、合规等。
人力资源运营的目标是什么？
效率和准确性。优化人力资源流程，减少人工操作，将人力资源操作中的错误降至最低。
合规性。确保遵守劳动法律、法规和公司政策，从而降低法律风险。
良好的员工关系。建立积极的关系，为企业员工提供支持，帮助他们发挥最佳水平。
可扩展性。让企业的员工与公司一起成长，使员工队伍能够不断满足企业不断变化的需求。
人力资源运营的职责是什么？
入职和离职。管理从招聘到离职的整个员工生命周期。
薪资和福利管理。处理专业人员的薪酬和福利，确保准确及时地处理薪资。
数据管理。维护记录和数据的准确性，保护敏感信息。
合规与法律。确保人力资源流程符合劳动法律、法规和公司政策。
劳动力规划。协助制定组织的整体人力资源战略，包括劳动力规划、继任和招聘。
培训与发展。管理培训计划，跟踪员工的进步，确定需要改进的地方，并为职业发展创造机会。
解决冲突。处理专业人员之间的争议。
健康与安全。通过制定安全政策和报告流程以及开展培训，为员工营造一个安全健康的工作环境。
人力资源技术管理。实施并监督人力资源信息系统（HRIS）、绩效管理软件和申请人跟踪工具等软件工具。
人力资源运营经理的职责是什么？
人力资源运营经理负责监督所有人力资源运营的日常运作（人力资源运营总监则负责总体战略）。
他们与其他人力资源领导合作，确保所有流程与公司目标保持一致。
他们监督人力资源员工和人力资源运营专家，确保工作的完成。人力资源运营经理还为员工提供他们可能需要的任何支持。他们将这种支持扩展到整个组织--解决复杂的人力资源问题并提供指导。
人力资源运营经理要寻找机会，实施人力资源最佳实践，提高效率，降低运营成本。他们分析可用的人力资源数据，就资源分配和劳动力规划做出决策，并实施人力资源技术解决方案以提高自动化程度。
人力资源运营经理还有责任随时了解相关法律法规，确保合规。
人力资源运营经理的薪酬是多少？
人力资源运营经理的薪酬因经验、地点、组织规模和行业而异。
但平均而言，他们在美国的年薪约为 123,000 美元，在英国约为 64,495 英镑，在澳大利亚约为 130,000 澳元。
事实上，大型企业中经验丰富的经理人的年薪可能会超过这个数字，最高可达 16.4 万美元、7.5 万英镑和 15.25 万澳元，而那些规模较小或经验较少的经理人的年薪通常在 8.7 万美元、4.7 万英镑或 11.58 万澳元左右。
工作地点对薪酬水平有很大影响，大城市的薪酬通常较高。
人力资源技术如何帮助人力资源运营？
人力资源技术是人力资源运作不可或缺的一部分，因为它有许多好处：
自动化。人力资源技术可将工资单处理、入职和福利管理等重复性工作自动化，从而节省人力资源专业人员通常用于行政管理的时间。
数据管理。人力资源技术解决方案可保持企业专业人员数据的准确性和时效性，从而更好地进行决策和报告。
合规管理。人力资源软件让您轻松遵守最新法规和劳动法。
自助门户。人力资源技术允许员工通过自助门户访问人力资源信息、申请休假和更新个人资料，从而提高了运营效率。
分析和报告。人力资源技术通过数据分析工具深入洞察劳动力趋势，帮助企业做出明智、数据驱动的决策。
招聘和人才管理。许多人力资源工具都具有申请人跟踪、候选人评估和人才管理功能，使招聘和组织劳动力管理变得更加容易。
绩效管理。一些人力资源系统支持绩效评估、目标设定和反馈流程，帮助专业人员发挥最佳水平。
学习与发展。学习管理系统（LMS）等解决方案可让团队成员获得教育资源，并帮助人力资源部门创建和管理专业培训计划。
人力资源运营是现代组织不可或缺的一部分。它能确保公司日常工作的顺利进行，并极大地促进积极的工作环境。最重要的是，它有助于提高工作满意度、提高生产率、改善业务绩效--使专业人员和整个公司蓬勃发展。
以下为文章原文：
What is HR operations?
Human resources operations (not to be confused with people operations) is a crucial function within an organization, managing the administrative and practical aspects of day-to-day HR activities.
HR operations is the backbone of the HR department, ensuring various HR processes and systems run smoothly—including recruitment, onboarding, payroll administration, employee relations, compliance, and more.
What are HR operations’ goals?
Efficiency and accuracy. To optimize HR processes, reduce manual tasks, and minimize errors in HR operations.
Compliance. To ensure compliance with labor laws, regulations, and company policies so that there’s less legal risk.
Good employee relations. To create positive relationships that support an organization’s people, helping them to perform at their best.
Scalability. To enable an organization’s people to grow along with the company so the workforce can continue to meet the business’s changing needs.
What are HR operations’ responsibilities?
Onboarding and offboarding. Managing the entire employee lifecycle, from hiring to exit processes.
Payroll and benefits administration. Handling compensation and benefits for professionals, ensuring accurate and timely payroll processing.
Data management. Maintaining records and data accuracy, as well as protecting sensitive information.
Compliance and legal. Making sure HR processes comply with labor laws, regulations, and company policies.
Workforce planning. Assisting with an organization’s overall HR strategy, including workforce planning, succession, and recruitment.
Training and development. Managing training programs, tracking people’s progress, identifying areas for improvement, and creating opportunities for career progression.
Conflict resolution. Handling disputes among professionals.
Health and safety. Supporting people’s wellbeing with a safe and healthy work environment by establishing safety policies and reporting processes, as well as conducting training.
HR tech management. Implementing and overseeing software tools such as human resource information systems (HRIS), performance management software, and applicant tracking tools.
What is the role of an HR operations manager?
The HR operations manager oversees the day-to-day running of all HR operations (while the HR operations director focuses on the overall strategy).
They collaborate with other HR leaders to make sure all processes align to further the company’s goals.
They supervise HR staff and HR operations specialists, ensuring that work is completed. The HR operations manager also provides people with any support they may need. They extend this support to people across the organization—addressing complex HR issues and offering guidance.
The HR operations manager identifies opportunities to implement HR best practices, boosting efficiency and reducing operational costs. They analyze the available HR data to make decisions on resource allocation and workforce planning and implement HR technology solutions to increase automation.
It’s also the HR operations manager’s responsibility to stay up to date on relevant laws and regulations to ensure compliance.
What is an HR operations manager’s salary?
The salary of an HR operations manager varies based on experience, location, organization size, and industry.
But, on average, they earn around US$123,000 per year in the United States, £64,495 in the United Kingdom, and A$130,000 in Australia, for example.
Highly experienced managers in large organizations can earn more than that—up to US$164,000, £75,000, and A$152,500 in fact—while those in smaller companies, or with less experience, usually earn around US$87,000, £47,000, or A$115,800.
Location has a strong influence on salary levels, with larger cities generally offering higher compensation.
How can HR tech help with HR operations?
HR technology forms an integral part of HR operations because it comes with many benefits:
Automation. HR tech automates repetitive tasks like payroll processing, onboarding, and benefits administration, freeing up time HR professionals typically spend on admin.
Data management. HR tech solutions keep data on an organization’s professionals accurate and up to date, enabling better decision-making and reporting.
Compliance management. HR software makes it easy to stay compliant with the latest regulations and labor laws.
Self-service portals. HR tech improves operational efficiency by allowing people to access HR information, request time off, and update personal details through self-service portals.
Analytics and reporting. HR tech helps organizations make informed, data-driven decisions with data analytics tools that provide in-depth insights into workforce trends.
Recruitment and talent management. Many HR tools come with features for applicant tracking, candidate assessment, and talent management, making it easier to take care of recruitment and the organization’s workforce.
Performance management. Some HR systems support performance assessments, goal setting, and feedback processes, helping professionals perform at their best.
Learning and development. Solutions like learning management systems (LMS) give team members access to educational resources and help HR create and manage professional training programs.
HR operations is integral to modern organizations. It ensures a company’s smooth day-to-day functioning and significantly contributes to a positive work environment. Most importantly, it helps increase job satisfaction, boost productivity, and improve business performance—enabling professionals and the company as a whole to thrive.
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